Horse Profile

Screener/Calculated Risk (GB)

Calculated Risk (GB)

17yo Gelding · Chestnut · GB

Career Overview

Calculated Risk (GB) is a 17yo chestnut gelding, trained by Mrs Dunn and owned by Mr Brian Jones. He is by Motivator (GB), out of Glen Rosie (IRE), by Mujtahid, bred by Newsells Park Stud. From 48 career starts, he has won 8 times, placed on 18 occasions, at a 16.7% strike rate. He has earned £45.5k in prize money. He holds an official rating of 136. He shows a preference for good to soft going (2w from 8r). He has a notable course record at Sandown (1w from 3r).

AI summary — career highlights, form & what to expect

Calculated Risk (GB)(GB)

Motivator (GB) — Glen Rosie (IRE) (Mujtahid)

Form
967485
Active

Age

17

Sex

Gelding

Colour

Chestnut

OR

136

TF

—

Runs

48

Wins

8

Places

18

TrainerMrs Dunn
BreederNewsells Park Stud
Prize Money£45.5k

Performance Metrics

Win Rate

16.7%

Place Rate

37.5%

Total Runs

48

Best OR

136

Career Earnings

£45.5k

Smart Signals

🏆Course SpecialistSandown — 1w from 3r (33%)
🌧️Going preferenceHeavy — 2w from 9r (22%)

Ratings & Form History

Official Rating · Speed Figure · Finishing Position

25 Aug 1118 May 1215 Oct 1209 Mar 1319 Sep 1326 Dec 1320 Oct 1404 Aug 1529 Nov 1531 Mar 1606 Nov 1623 Nov 175479104141
  • Finish Pos.
  • Off. Rating
  • Speed Fig.

Earnings Per Race

£45.5k total
17 Aug 1209 Jan 1314 Feb 1307 Apr 1319 Sep 1326 Dec 1303 Jan 1504 Aug 1512 Feb 1620 Mar 1611 May 1601 Mar 17£0£2.5k£5k£7.5k£10k

Pedigree

Breeder

Newsells Park Stud

Racing TypeJumps
ColourChestnut
StatusActive

Performance Analysis

Going Preference

Good12
2W 2P 17%
Soft11
2W 4P 18%
Heavy9
2W 5P 22%
Good To Soft8
2W 3P 25%
Good To Firm4
0W 1P 0%
Standard3
0W 0P 0%
Standard To Fast1
0W 0P 0%

Class Record

Class 13
0W 0P 0%
Class 24
0W 0P 0%
Class 38
3W 5P 38%
Class 411
1W 2P 9%
Class 521
4W 8P 19%
Class 61
0W 0P 0%

Seasonal Form

Sept4
1W 1P 25%
Jan4
1W 1P 25%
Feb5
1W 2P 20%
Mar6
2W 3P 33%
Apr4
1W 2P 25%
May4
0W 1P 0%
Jun2
0W 0P 0%
Jul1
1W 1P 100%
Aug5
0W 1P 0%
Oct4
0W 1P 0%
Nov6
0W 0P 0%
Dec3
1W 2P 33%

Headgear Impact

Without45
8W 15P 18%
With3
0W 0P 0%

Draw Performance

Low (1-3)5
1W 2P · Avg 5.2
Mid (4-6)5
1W 1P · Avg 5.2
High (7+)8
0W 2P · Avg 6.3

Jockey Record

Dougie Costello9
4W 5P 44%
Tom Bellamy5
1W 3P 20%
Lizzie Kelly3
0W 0P 0%
Ian Brennan3
0W 0P 0%
Jamie Mackay3
0W 1P 0%
Trevor Whelan2
0W 0P 0%
Sean Bowen2
0W 1P 0%

Course Form

Ffos Las9
2W 4P 22%
Catterick3
0W 0P 0%
Sandown3
1W 1P 33%
Worcester2
0W 1P 0%
Huntingdon2
0W 0P 0%
Pontefract2
0W 1P 0%
Cheltenham2
0W 0P 0%
Doncaster2
2W 2P 100%

Beaten Distances

Avg Win Margin

0.0L

Avg Beaten

5.8L

Closest Loss

0.1L

Rating Trends (RPR · TS · OR)

18 Jun 1215 Oct 1227 Apr 1314 Oct 1326 Dec 1315 May 1404 Aug 1510 Nov 1521 Feb 1611 May 1606 Nov 1611 Feb 1723 Nov 1703570105140
  • RPR
  • TS
  • OR

Market Trend (Starting Price)

23 Sep 1119 Jul 1207 Feb 1327 Apr 1317 Nov 1308 Apr 1403 Jan 1515 Sep 1521 Feb 1619 May 1608 Jan 1723 Nov 170255075100

Race History

Race History

DatePosTrackRaceDistGoingJockeySPORSpeed
23 Nov 20179WincantonJockey Club Catering Handicap Hurdle20ffSoftAdam Wedge20/197—
16 Apr 20176Ffos LasEthical Power Handicap Hurdle16ffGoodLizzie Kelly8/199—
19 Mar 20177Ffos LasPorsche Cardiff Handicap Hurdle20ffSoftTrevor Whelan8/1101—
01 Mar 20174Ffos LasRoa/racing Post Owners' Jackpot Handicap Hurdle20ffHeavyLizzie Kelly11/2102—
11 Feb 20178UttoxeterSSJ Electrical Handicap Hurdle20ffHeavyLizzie Kelly7/1104—
08 Jan 20175ChepstowBathwick Tyres Handicap Hurdle19.5ffHeavySean Bowen12/1106—
12 Dec 20163Ffos LasBooker Wholesale Handicap Hurdle16ffSoftSean Bowen9/1106—
06 Nov 201613Ffos LasFinnings Handicap Hurdle20ffGoodTrevor Whelan25/1110—
02 Jun 20165Ffos LasWalters Group Selling Hurdle20ffGoodTom Bellamy7/4113—
19 May 20166WorcesterDownload The Ladbrokes App Claiming Hurdle20ffGood To FirmTom Bellamy5/1114—
11 May 20163WorcesterHerefordshire And Worcestershire Chamber Of Commerce Selling Hurdle20ffGood To SoftTom Bellamy7/4F116—
31 Mar 20162Ffos LasWeatherbys Handicap Hurdle20ffHeavyTom Bellamy5/2F112—
20 Mar 20161Ffos LasHeineken Conditional Jockeys' Selling Hurdle20ffGood To SoftTom Bellamy9/2112—
21 Feb 20161Ffos LasFfos Las Racecourse Selling Hurdle16ffHeavyNathan Moscrop7/4111—
12 Feb 20164WetherbyRacinguk.com/anywhere Selling Hurdle19.5ffHeavyNathan Moscrop4/1116—
29 Nov 20153LeicesterEast Farndon Selling Hurdle15.5ffGood To SoftHarry Skelton8/13F126—
10 Nov 20157HuntingdonOmni Security Michaelmas Hurdle (Handicap)19.5ffSoftHarry Skelton10/1130—
15 Sep 20157CatterickRacing UK Anywhere Available Now Handicap14ffGood To SoftIan Brennan5/1F72—
22 Aug 20158ChesterRacing Uk Handicap16ffGoodIan Brennan20/174—
04 Aug 20155CatterickBetfred Membership Play Your Way Handicap (For The ABF Soldier's Charity Perpetual Trophy)14ffGoodJoe Doyle9/274—
21 Jan 20152CatterickAiden Coleman Every Friday Racinguk.com Novices' Chase19ffSoftDougie Costello7/1——
03 Jan 20153NewcastleS V Rutter Novices' Chase16.5ffSoftJames Reveley9/2——
22 Nov 20149HaydockBetter Odds With Betfair Price Rush Handicap Hurdle19ffSoftDougie Costello20/1135—
20 Oct 20145Pontefracttotetrifecta Bluff Cove Handicap18ffSoftPhillip Makin5/2F75—
15 May 20148YorkInvestec Specialist Bank Handicap16.5ffGoodIan Brennan11/2J75—
08 Apr 20143PontefractJamaican Flight Handicap18ffSoftRyan Moore15/8F72—
12 Mar 201422CheltenhamCoral Cup (Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle)21ffGoodBrian Hughes33/1136—
26 Dec 20131SedgefieldWills Property Services Handicap Hurdle19ffSoftDougie Costello5/2F129—
07 Dec 20136SandownJumeirah Hotels & Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed)16ffGood To SoftDougie Costello8/1129—
17 Nov 20139CheltenhamStanJames.com Greatwood Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap)16.5ffGoodRichard Johnson25/1129—
14 Oct 20136MusselburghBetfair Scottish Stayers' Final (Handicap)13ffGood To FirmMichael O'Connell11/4F73—
19 Sep 20131AyrCampbell Brothers Handicap13ffSoftRobert Winston11/4F66—
03 Aug 20136HamiltonMargaret Smith Memorial Handicap (Qualifier For The 15000 Betfair Scottish Stayers' Series Final)11ffGoodMichael O'Connell5/4F67—
27 Apr 20136SandownBet365 Josh Gifford Juvenile Handicap Hurdle16ffGoodDean Pratt4/1F131—
07 Apr 20131AscotHUGE Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Sunday 5k Bonus Race)15.5ffGoodDougie Costello4/1125—
09 Mar 20131SandownMichael Afflick Rocks At Paddy Power Juvenile Handicap Hurdle16ffHeavyDougie Costello5/2F119—
14 Feb 20133KelsoHarry Hill Novices' Hurdle16ffHeavyDougie Costello7/2——
07 Feb 20135Huntingdon32Red Juvenile Hurdle (for the Chatteris Fen Trophy)16ffGood To SoftDougie Costello9/2——
09 Jan 20131DoncasterYorkshire Radio Supporting Yorkshire Racing Juvenile Hurdle16.5ffGood To SoftDougie Costello14/1——
15 Oct 20123SalisburyBathwick Tyres Salisbury Handicap10ffHeavyWilliam Buick7/4F67—
17 Aug 20123NewmarketNgk Spark Plugs Handicap10ffGood To FirmJamie Mackay9/266—
19 Jul 20121DoncasterCoopers Marquees Handicap10ffGoodWilliam Buick7/2J59—
18 Jun 20126WindsorDavisbakerycaribbean.com Handicap10ffGood To SoftStevie Donohoe9/261—
18 May 20129NewmarketStreets Chartered Accountants Handicap8ffGood To FirmJamie Mackay18/163—
08 Oct 201110Wolverhampton (AW)Alison & Tony Johnson Wedding Anniversary Nursery7ffStandardStevie Donohoe28/166—
23 Sep 20116Wolverhampton (AW)Book Now For Christmas Maiden Stakes7ffStandard To FastStevie Donohoe33/1——
19 Sep 20117Kempton (AW)32 For Poker Median Auction Maiden Stakes7ffStandardTom McLaughlin80/1——
25 Aug 20118Lingfield (AW)Ladbrokes Mobile Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Div 2) (AW)6ffStandardJamie Mackay25/1——

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